Three month growth rate 2.7% ann’d, 3 month diffusion index at 48.
Figure 1: 3 month annualized growth rate in the Coincident Index for the US (blue, left scale), 3 month growth rate diffusion index (tan, right scale). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, NBER, and author’s calculations.
Here’s an annotated map of the US. Red outlines are for battleground states.
Source: Philadelphia Fed (Sept).
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