From TruthSocial, 5AM ET:
Kalshi betting odds on number of ships through Strait of Hormuz through April 5:
Source: Kalshi, accessed 4/5/2026, 11:30 AM CT. Notes: Orange arrow at 4 AM CT, 5 AM ET.
There is no indication that prediction markets took the threat seriously, and indeed the expected number of ships transiting the Strait declined.
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