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Lifestyle
Have a Beautiful Weekend. | Cup of Jo
What are you up to this weekend? My mom is coming to visit, and Toby is throwing his 16th birthday…
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Economy
NY Fed, SoFIE Predicted April Y/Y Inflation
although they over-estimated in 2023-24. Figure 1: Actual year-on-year CPI inflation (bold black), lagged expectations from U.Mich. Survey of Consumers…
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Economy
Ten Year Nominal and Real Yields Jump
As of close today, nominal yields are up 0.62%, real up 0.38% since the beginning of the war. Source link
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Economy
Industrial and Manufacturing Production Up: The Divergence between Employment and Output Continues
Both strongly beat consensus. From the Fed’s G.17 Release today: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population…
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Real Estate
Housing Market Forecasts Flip as Zillow, NAR, Fannie Mae Make New Predictions
Dave:At the start of 2026, there was a general consensus among experts and forecasters about what would happen in the…
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Lifestyle
10 Things I Never Travel Without
What little things do you always pack when you travel? My long-time personal checklist includes a gripping book and simple…
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Economy
Business Cycle Indicators as of Mid-May
Monthly GDP through March is up, while April CPI-deflated retail sales are down. The industrial and manufacturing production release is…
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Economy
Guest Contribution: “Can Professional Forecasters See Productivity Revolutions Coming?”
Today we are fortunate to present a guest post written by N. Kundan Kishor (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee). Lessons from three decades of…
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Economy
Parsing the Retail Sales Release
Sales rise, overall hits consensus. However, gasoline store sales constitute majority of increase. Figure 1: Change in retail sales (black line),…
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Blockchain
Claude 4.6 Integration Tips: Scaling and Accuracy Unpacked
Caroline Bishop May 13, 2026 19:33 Key insights into optimizing Anthropic’s Claude 4.6 and Opus 4.7…
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