Economy
-
Imports from China, Foretold | Econbrowser
More accurately, nowcasted using inbound container traffic. Two thirds of Chinese imports (by value) comes by sea freight. And sea…
Read More » -
50% Tariffs on the EU? Or, Wegovy for me, but not for thee?
Macro impact doesn’t seem large according to Yale Budget Lab, but I can hardly wait to see how much a…
Read More » -
Photos from a Conference | Econbrowser
I was at a conference — actually two — in Singapore: the Asian Bureau for Finance and Economic Research annual…
Read More » -
Equity Markets | Econbrowser
Some observers have noted the recovery in equity prices post-“Liberation Day”. This is an accurate characterization for SP500 (and DJ30),…
Read More » -
“Wisconsin’s Shifting Import Economy” | Econbrowser
That’s the title of Wisconsin Policy Forum Focus #9 released earlier this week. Here’s what Wisconsin imports in the way of…
Read More » -
Chinn-Ito Financial Openness Index Updated to 2022
Just published, Chinn-Ito index, available here. Normalized to [0,1], with 1 being most open, here’s the world. Here’re average values…
Read More » -
Planet Money: “How economists (and TikTok) know if a recession is coming”
NPR’s show today has a long segment on recession detection and prediction. I learned a lot about TikTok, Lady Gaga,…
Read More » -
Destroying Dollar Safe Haven Status at Breakneck Speed
Consider the ten year Treasury yield and the dollar index (DXY) over the past six months: Figure 1: DXY (blue,…
Read More » -
Sentiment, Confidence, News | Econbrowser
Note slight recovery in news sentiment (thru 5/18). Probably reflects some relief at the pause in higher US tariffs on…
Read More » -
Guest Contribution: “Policy Rule Evaluation for the Fed’s Strategy Review”
Today, we present a guest post written by David Papell, Professor of Economics at the University of Houston, Sebin Nidhiri…
Read More »