Deviation of Instantaneous Inflation from Target


For CPI, CPI core, PCE deflator, PCE core deflator:

Figure 1: Instantaneous inflation (T=12,a=4) for CPI (blue), CPI core (sky blue), PCE deflator (light green), PCE core deflator (red), per Eeckhout (2023). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: BLS, BEA, NBER and author’s calculations.


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