Trump statement today. In other news, from Kalshi, 12:30pm CT:
Source: Kalshi, accessed 6/1/2026.
This is the lowest odds recorded for July 1st re-opening, defined as 7 day moving average of 60 ships/day (when 100 is approximate pre-war rate). A slightly different contract on Polymarket has also reached an all time low.
Concurrently, in the crude oil market:
Source: NYMEX via barchart, accessed 6/1/2026.
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