Economy
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Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers – Nowcasts and Tracking
Goldman Sachs says +0.3% q/q AR in Q3: Figure 1: Final sales to domestic purchasers (bold black),…
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Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender Out
After only five months. From Politico: Faulkender, the deputy Treasury Secretary, oversees the agency’s operations and has…
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EJ Antoni Tries to Estimate Crowding Out using 2SLS
Or at least the response of interest rates to deficits, controlling for investment and global saving. In Chapter 1 of…
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Is the Sensitivity of Muni Bond Rates to 10 Year Treasury 0.04?
That’s the implication of this table: Where the dependent variable is the state municipal bond interest rate proxied by dividing…
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Guest Contribution: “Monthly Household Income Estimates at the White House”
Today we present a guest post written by Matías Scaglione of the data science and economic consulting firm Motio Research. On…
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Bringing Prices Down: How’s It Going?
As promised by Donald Trump? “We’re going to have prices down- I think you’re going to see…
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Residential Investment: Nowcast down 5.9% q/q AR
Based on residential investment construction July release (starts 1.428 mn > 1.29 mn Bbg consensus; permits 1.354mn…
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EJ Antoni in August: “…an increasing number of indicators say the recession has arrived in the broader economy.”
trillions of dollars that appear to be economic growth are just borrowing from the future — a debt that will…
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“Reserves, Sanctions and Tariffs in a Time of Uncertainty”
Is gold supplanting the dollar? Did the use of sanction by the US reduce holdings of dollars by targeted central…
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Coffee Drinkers of America, Unite
Here’re the July PPI and CPI for coffee. Figure 1: PPI for roasted coffee, n.s.a. (blue), and CPI for coffee,…
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