Economy
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High Frequency Readings on Economic Growth
Growth has decelerated by about half a percentage point since Liberation Day. Figure 1: Lewis-Mertens-Stock Weekly Economic…
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Clifford Winston: “Market Corrections Not Government Interventions”
That’s the title of a new book (Palgrave MacMillan) by Clifford Winston, Senior Nonresident Fellow in Economic Studies at Brookings.…
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Under Biden “…prices rose much faster than earnings”
EJ Antoni, formerly nominated to be BLS Commissioner, says so at 5:50 on this FoxBusiness clip. Kind…
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Prospects for Computer Equipment Investment
A large portion of GDP growth is accounted for (in a mechanical sense) by capital investment related to AI. What…
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Gaps: Above Potential GDP, or Below the “Natural Rate”
The view using CBO measures: Figure 1: Unemployment gap (blue), and output gap (dark red), implied output…
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Waiting for Data: Schedule and Alternative Business Cycle Indicators
Tired of scanning the internet for data pertaining to data releases in this new world? Pawel Skrzypczynski has an extremely…
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Confidence Collapse | Econbrowser
Conference Board Confidence Index at 88.7 in November, below Bloomberg consensus at 93.5, which was itself below…
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Secretary of Treasury Bessent: No Recession in 2026
That’s today on Meet the Press. I agree that it doesn’t look like we’re in a recession now, given the…
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Raise the Yuan! | Econbrowser
My title for Setser-Sobel in OMFIF, more soberly entitled “It’s time for China to let the renminbi appreciate sharply”: The…
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