Economy
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GAO: “Automatic supports are most effective when they are timely, temporary, targeted, and predictable”
I think we’ll need these sooner than you think. But legislation has just been passed to disable these supports. From…
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Quick and Dirty Check on Whether Steel Prices Have Fallen
Recall CEA has asserted that imported goods prices (incl tariffs) have fallen relative to domestically produced, based on conjoining 2017…
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Bertaut, von Beschwitz and Curcuru/FRB: “The International Role of the U.S. Dollar – 2025 Edition”
FEDS note published on Friday: The role of the U.S. dollar has received renewed attention this year. A sharp rise…
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How Much Longer Can We Trust Our Economic Statistics?
The Commerce Department eliminated two advisory committees on economic statistics gathering (see Marketplace). BLS received some additional funds in March…
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Consumer Price Level – Alternatives
How’s dropping prices for everyday folks going? Figure 1: CPI all (black), CPI for food (tan), Everyday Price Index (green),…
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Why Trade Uncertainty – Illustrated
Here’re the Baker-Bloom-Davis categorical trade policy uncertainty measure and the Caldara et al. Trade Policy Uncertainty index. Why are these…
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EJ Antoni/Heritage: “Back from the Brink: Trump’s Economy Soars Instead of Crashing”
What’s this guy smoking? From the article (originally Wash Examiner): Many so-called experts predicted that President Trump’s economic agenda would…
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Guest Contribution: “Recession Detection Along the Anticipation-Precision Frontier”
Today we are fortunate to present a guest post written by Pascal Michaillat (UCSC). Is the U.S. economy in a…
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“Groceries” under Trump | Econbrowser
ERS predicts 2.2% increase in food-at-home prices in 2025. Figure 1: CPI food-at-home (black); ERS forecast of January (light blue…
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