Economy
-
Nowcasting Private NFP for September
We won’t have the BLS series for private NFP as of Friday. Can we use the ADP-Stanford…
Read More » -
September Private Nonfarm Payroll Employment According to ADP
Since we won’t get the BLS September numbers on Friday, this is what we have. Figure 1:…
Read More » -
Douglas Holtz-Eakin on Trade and the Future of the Global Economy [updated]
In a discussion with myself and Aaron Zitzelsberger (WEDC), at UW Madison, Thursday 2 October 2025, sponsored…
Read More » -
White House Pulls EJ Antoni Nomination to BLS Chief
From The Hill: Source: Times of Israel. The White House is withdrawing the nomination of E.J. Antoni…
Read More » -
World Bank: “Accelerating Investment: Challenges and Policies”
A new volume from the World Bank, Office of Chief Economist: …developing economies face an investment shortfall…
Read More » -
Guest Contribution: “How do UK and Australia relations with China react to US-China shocks”
Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Jamel Saadaoui (Université Paris 8-Vincennes). A lot of my…
Read More » -
Conference Board: “A sharp deterioration in consumers’ views of the current economic situation weighed on confidence”
Per release today. In standardized terms, U.Michigan Sentiment and Conference Board Confidence are at the same level…
Read More » -
Confirmed: Uncertainty about Trade Policy Rises
From Baker, Bloom and Davis, as well as Caldara et al., in the wake of Section 232…
Read More » -
Trump Shock on GDP vs. “Core GDP” Trajectories
Relying on GDP might provide a misleading impression of regained momentum. Figure 1: GDP (bold black), 2023-24 stochastic trend (gray),…
Read More » -
In Search of the Section 232 (National Security) Report on Bathroom Vanities
This is what I found on the Bureau of Industrial Security/Dept of Commerce website: In contrast,…
Read More »