Economy
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The Russian Economy under (More?) Pressure
Bofit: “Economic imbalances weighing on Russia’s output growth” From Bloomberg, “Ukraine Allies Agree to Step Up Economic Pressure on Russia”.…
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Economic Policy Uncertainty at Recorded Maximum
Latest updated data, 3/16 at 1074. Figure 1: EPU (blue, left scale), and centered 7 day moving average (red, left…
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Recession Now? | Econbrowser
When consumer sentiment drops as precipitously as it has (see here), then one has to ask if a recession is…
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The Four Golfcart Men of the Apocalypse
In Biblical contexts, War, Death, Pestilence and Famine. Well, with the Trump administration, check, check, check, and check! War? Trump…
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Prices for Ordinary Folk: February and the Future
From the CPI release, food at home (aka grocery) prices: Figure 1: CPI food at home component (bold black), ERS…
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Wisconsin Employment and Forecasts | Econbrowser
DWD released February employment numbers yesterday; DoR’s February Economic Outlook forecast was also published. Figure 1: Wisconsin nonfarm payroll employment…
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Expectations off a Cliff | Econbrowser
Expectations in March (prel.) at 54.2 vs. 64.3 Bloomberg consensus. Thanks, Drumpf. Figure 1: U.Michigan expectations index (blue), and NY…
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Guest Contribution: “Steeling losses: sectoral strains from the return of tariffs on steel and aluminium”
Today we are fortunate to present a guest post written by Maria Grazia Attinasi, Lucas Boeckelmann, Rinalds Gerinovics, and Baptiste…
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“The Coming Recession May Have Already Arrived”
“…an increasing number of indicators say the recession has arrived in the broader economy.” Here are key indicators followed by…
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Instantaneous Inflation: Headline, Core, Supercore for CPI, PPI, HICP
Data available as of today, first for headline: Figure 1: Instantaneous inflation for CPI (blue), PCE deflator (tan), HICP (green),…
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