Economy
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Consumer Confidence in April | Econbrowser
Gallup and U.Michigan way down, Conference Board trending sideways. Figure 1: U.Michigan Economic Sentiment (blue), Conference Board Confidence Index (brown), Gallup…
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GDP, Personal Income and other Business Cycle Indicators as of May Day
GDP grows 2% SAAR in the Q1 advance release (see Jim’s discussion here). Real personal income ex-transfers is flat. Figure…
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A worried Econ Watcher | Econbrowser
The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that seasonally adjusted U.S. real GDP grew at a 2% annual rate in…
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The Last Month’s June Brent and Kalshi Hormuz Re-opening Odds
As of 2pm CT today: The July 1 probability hasn’t been this low since April 7th, when June Brent…
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Brent Front Month above $111
Gas at all time high, according to Gasbuddy, as of today: Source link
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Where Will Brent Futures Open Today?
My guess, using Kalshi and EPU, is for $111 yesterday (assuming EPU is the same as yesterday): Figure 1: Brent…
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“Margaret in Love and War”: An Opera Premiere
Tue, Apr 28, 2026, 7:30pm, at the Leonard Nimoy Thalia, Composer Laura Schwendinger and librettist Ginger Strand’s opera about Margaret…
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Updated April Michigan Survey Results
One year ahead inflation expectations down 10 bps, sentiment up 2 points: Figure 1: One year ahead [median] CPI inflation expectations…
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One Year Inflation Expectations: A Survey of the Latest
Up, up and away. Figure 1: One year ahead CPI inflation expectations from U.Mich. Survey of Consumers (blue), from NY…
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