Economy
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Delaying Employment Situation Release, CPI Release Next?
Is the Administration secretly happy that the employment situation release was delayed? Without inside information, one can’t…
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Business Cycle Implications from the ADP Release
My nowcast of BLS private nonfarm payroll employment was for a decreaes of 78K, but with a…
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FT-Booth GDP Forecast for 2025: 1.6%
That’s q4/q4, as noted in the survey results for September. FIgure 1: GDP (bold black), FT-Booth September…
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Nowcasting Private NFP for September
We won’t have the BLS series for private NFP as of Friday. Can we use the ADP-Stanford…
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September Private Nonfarm Payroll Employment According to ADP
Since we won’t get the BLS September numbers on Friday, this is what we have. Figure 1:…
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Douglas Holtz-Eakin on Trade and the Future of the Global Economy [updated]
In a discussion with myself and Aaron Zitzelsberger (WEDC), at UW Madison, Thursday 2 October 2025, sponsored…
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White House Pulls EJ Antoni Nomination to BLS Chief
From The Hill: Source: Times of Israel. The White House is withdrawing the nomination of E.J. Antoni…
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World Bank: “Accelerating Investment: Challenges and Policies”
A new volume from the World Bank, Office of Chief Economist: …developing economies face an investment shortfall…
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Guest Contribution: “How do UK and Australia relations with China react to US-China shocks”
Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Jamel Saadaoui (Université Paris 8-Vincennes). A lot of my…
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Conference Board: “A sharp deterioration in consumers’ views of the current economic situation weighed on confidence”
Per release today. In standardized terms, U.Michigan Sentiment and Conference Board Confidence are at the same level…
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